악셀 팀머만 Axel Timmermann
Director & Distinguished Professor
Email: axel@ibsclimate.org
Phone: +82-51-510-2890
Research Interests
- El Niño
- Human migration and climate
- Climate/carbon cycle interactions
- Glacial Dynamics
- Abrupt Climate Change
- Sea level rise
- Ice-sheet instabilities
- Climate Predictability
Education
1999 | Ph.D. Meteorology. University of Hamburg, Germany |
1995 | M.S. Theoretical Physics. University of Marburg, Germany |
1992 | B.S. Physics. University of Marburg, Germany |
Work Experience
2017 | Director of the IBS Center for Climate Physics, Pusan National University | |
2017 | Distinguished Professor, Pusan National University | |
2009 | 2016 | Full Professor in Physical Oceanography, University of Hawaii |
2004 | 2009 | Associate Professor in Physical Oceanography, University of Hawaii |
2001 | 2004 | Associate Researcher, IfM-GEOMAR, University of Kiel, Germany |
2000 | 2001 | Postdoc, International Pacific Research Center, Hawaii, USA |
1998 | 2000 | Postdoc, Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute, the Netherlands |
1995 | 1998 | Research Assistant, Max Planck Institute of Meteorology, Hamburg |
Fellowships, Awards, and Honors
2023 | Highly Cited Research (Cross-Field) of Web of Science, Clarivate Analytics |
2022 | Highly Cited Researcher (Environment and Ecology) of Web of Science, Clarivate Analytics |
2021 | Highly Cited Researcher (Environment and Ecology) of Web of Science, Clarivate Analytics |
2020 | Highly Cited Researcher (Environment and Ecology) of Web of Science, Clarivate Analytics |
2019 | Highly Cited Researcher (Cross-Field) of Web of Science, Clarivate Analytics |
2018 | Highly Cited Researcher (Cross-Field) of Web of Science, Clarivate Analytics |
2018 | Scientist of the Year by the Korean Science Journalist Association |
2017 | Milankovic Medal of the European Geosciences Union |
2015 | Elected Fellow of the American Geophysical Union |
2015 | University of Hawaii, Regents' Medal for Excellence in Research |
2007 | Rosenstiel Award of the Rosenstiel School for Marine and Atmospheric Science (RSMAS), Miami |
Publications
- The evolving 3-dimensional landscape of human adaptation, Elke Zeller, Axel Timmermann, Science Advances, vol. 10, 41, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adq3613, 2024
- Abrupt increase in Arctic-Subarctic wildfires caused by future permafrost thaw, In-Won Kim, Axel Timmermann, Ji-Eun Kim, Keith B. Rodgers, Sun-Seon Lee, Hanna Lee, and William R. Wieder, Nature Communications, vol. 15, article 7868, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-51471-x, 2024
- Exploring microbial diversity in South Korean caves through shotgun sequencing: contrasting dry and wet environments, swabbing versus sediment sampling, Valentina Vanghi, Axel Timmermann, Kyoung-nam Jo, Taejon Kwon, Journal of the Geological Society of Korea, vol. 60, 3, pp. 275-294, doi: 10.14770/jgsk.2024.020, 2024
- Past climate change effects on human evolution, Axel Timmermann, Pasquale Raia, Alessandro Mondanaro, Christoph P. E. Zollikofer, Marcia Ponce de León, Elke Zeller, Kyung-Sook Yun, Nature reviews earth & environment, vol. 5, pp. 701 – 716, doi: 10.1038/s43017-024-00584-4, 2024
- Emergence of lake conditions that exceed natural temperature variability, Lei Huang, R. Iestyn Woolway, Axel Timmermann, Sun-Seon Lee, Keith B. Rodgers, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Nature Geoscience, vol.17, pp. 763 – 769, doi: 10.1038/s41561-024-01491-5, 2024
- Seawater oxygen isotopes as a tool for monitoring future meltwater from the Antarctic ice-sheet, Hyuna Kim, Axel Timmermann, Communications earth and environment, vol. 5, article 343, doi: 10.1038/s43247-024-01514-4, 2024
- Phase synchronization between culture and climate forcing, Axel Timmermann, Abdul Wasay, Pasquale Raia, Proceedings of the Royal Society B, vol. 291, 2024, article 20240320, doi: 10.1098/rspb.2024.0320, 2024
- Dispersal and interbreeding as survival strategies for species exposed to environment change, Kelvin J. Richards, Axel Timmermann, Journal of Theoretical Biology, article 111797, doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2024.111797, 2024
- A transient coupled general circulation model (CGCM) simulation of the past 3 million years, Kyung-Sook Yun, Axel Timmermann, Sun-Seon Lee, Matteo Willeit, Andrey Ganopolski, Jyoti Jadhav, Climate of the Past, vol. 19, 10, pp. 1951 – 1974, doi: 10.5194/cp-19-1951-2023, 2023
- Moisture control of tropical cyclones in high-resolution simulations of paleoclimate and future climate, Pavan Harika Raavi, Jung-Eun Chu, Axel Timmermann, Sun-Seon Lee, Kevin J.E. Walsh, Nature Communications, vol. 14, article 6426, doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-42033-8, 2023
- Increased amplitude of atmospheric rivers and associated extreme precipitation in ultra-high-resolution greenhouse warming simulations, Arjun Babu Nellikkattil, June-Yi Lee, Bin Guan, Axel Timmermann, Sun-Seon Lee, Jung-Eun Chu, Danielle Lemmon, Communications earth and environment, vol. 4, article 313, doi: 10.1038/s43247-023-00963-7, 2023
- Anthropogenic fingerprints in daily precipitation revealed by deep learning, Yoo-Geun Ham, Jeong-Hwan Kim, Seung-Ki Min, Daehyun Kim, Tim Li, Axel Timmermann, Malte F. Stuecker, Nature, vol. 622, pp. 301-307, doi: 10.1038/s41586-023-06474-x, 2023
- Rainfall Salinity Effects on Future Pacific Climate Change, Hyuna Kim,Axel Timmermann, Sun-Seon Lee, Fabian Schloesser, Earth’s Future, vol. 11, 8, e2022EF003457, doi: 10.1029/2022EF003457, 2023
- Extreme glacial cooling likely led the Hominin depopulation of Europe in the Early Pleistocene, Vasiliki Margari, David A. Hodell, Simon A. Parfitt, Nick M. Ashton, Joan O. Grimalt, Hyuna Kim, Kyung-Sook Yun, Philip L. Gibbard, Chris B. Stringer, Axel Timmermann, Polychronis C. Tzedkis, Science, vol. 381, 6658, pp. 693 – 699, doi: 10.1126/science.adf4445, 2023
- Climate shifts orchestrated Hominin interbreeding events across Eurasia, Jiaoyang Ruan, Axel Timmermann, Pasquale Raia, Kyung-Sook Yun, Elke Zeller, Alessandro Mindanaro, Mirko Di Febbraro, Danielle Lemmon, Silvia Castiglione, Marina Melchionna, Science, vol. 381, 6658, pp. 699 – 704, doi: 10.1126/science.add4459, 2023
- Resolving the Tropical Pacific/Atlantic Interaction Conundrum, Feng Jiang, Wenjun Zhang, Fei-Fei Jin, Malte F. Stuecker, Axel Timmermann, Michael J. McPhaden, Julien Boucharel, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 50, 13, e2023GL103777, doi: 10.1029/2023GL103777, 2023
- Interannual fires as a source for subarctic summer decadal climate variability mediated by permafrost thawing, Ji-Eun Kim, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Keith B. Rodgers, Axel Timmermann, Sun-Seon Lee, Karl Stein, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Jean-Francois Lamarque, John T. Fasullo, Clara Deser, Nań Rosenbloom, Jim Edwards, Malte F. Stuecker, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, vol. 6, 1, article 84, doi: 10.1038/s41612-023-00415-1, 2023
- Human adaptation to diverse biomes over the past 3 million years, Elke Zeller, Axel Timmermann, Kyung-Sook Yun, Pasquale Raia, Karl Stein and Jiaoyang Ruan, Science, vol. 380, 6645, pp. 604-608, doi: 10.1126/science.abq1288, 2023
- Future Indian Ocean Warming patterns, Sahil Sharma, Kyung-Ja Ha, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Keith B. Rodgers, Axel Timmermann, Euiseok Chung, Nature Communications, vol. 14, article 1789, doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-37435-7, 2023
- Future sea-level projections with a coupled atmosphere-ocean-ice-sheet model, Jun-Young Park, Fabian Schloesser, Axel Timmermann, Dipayan Choudhury, June-Yi Lee, Arjun Babu Nellikkattil, Nature Communications, vol. 14, article 636, doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-36051-9, 2023
- More frequent central Pacific El Niño and stronger estern pacific El Niño in a warmer climate, Na-Yeon Shin, Jong-Seong Hug, Malte F. Stuecker, Fei-Fei Jin, Axel Timmermann, Geon-Il Kim, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, vol. 5, article 101, doi: 10.1038/s41612-022-00324-9, 2022
- Nutrient uptake plasticity in phytoplankton sustains future ocean net primary production, Eun Young Kwon, M. G. Sreeush, Axel Timmermann, David M. Karl, Matthew J. Church, Sun-Seon Lee, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Science Advances, vol. 8, 51, eadd2475, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.add2475, 2022
- Emerging unprecedented lake ice loss in climate change projections, Lei Huang, Axel Timmermann, Sun-Seon Lee, Keith B. Rodgers, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Eui-Seok Chung, Nature Communications, vol. 13, 1, article 5798, doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-33495-3, 2022
- Lake ice will be less safe for recreation and transportation under future warming, R. Iestyn Woolway, Lei Huang, Sapna Sharma, Sun-Seon Lee, Keith B. Rodgers, Axel Timmermann, Earth’s Future, vol.10, 10, e2022EF002907, doi: 10.1029/2022EF002907, 2022
- Summer midlatitude stationary wave patterns synchronize Northern Hemisphere wildfire occurrence, Hien X. Bui, Axel Timmermann, June-Yi Lee, Eric D. Maloney, Yi-Xian Li, Ji-Eun Kim, Jacquelyn Shuman, Sun-Seon Lee, and William R. Wieder, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 49, 18, e2022GL099017, doi: 10.1029/2022GL099017, 2022
- A low-order dynamical model for fire-vegetation-climate interactions, Soong-Ki Kim, Axel Timmermann, Jin-Soo Kim, Roman Olson, Soon-Il An, Environmental Research Letters, vol. 17, 9, 094004, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8696, 2022
- Dynamics and characteristics of dry and moist heatwaves over East Asia, Kyung-Ja Ha, Ye-Won Seo, Ji-Hye Yeo, Axel Timmermann, Eui-Seok Chung, Christian L.E. Franzke, Johnny C.L. Chan, Sang-Wook Yeh, Mingling Ting, npj climate and atmospheric science, vol. 5, article 49, doi: 10.1038/s41612-022-00272-4, 2022
- Trophic level decoupling drives future changes in phytoplankton bloom phenology, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Keith B. Rodgers, Axel Timmermann, Karl J. Stein, Sarah Schlunegger, Daniele Bianchi, John P. Dunne, and Richard Slater, Nature Climate Change, vol. 12, pp. 469-476, doi: 10.1038/s41558-022-01353-1, 2022
- Future Amplification of Sea Surface Temperature Seasonality Due to Enhanced Ocean Stratification, Anila Rani Jo, June-Yi Lee, Axel Timmermann, Fei-Fei Jin, Ryohei Yamaguchi, and Angeles Gallego, Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 49, 9, e2022GL098607, DOI: 10.1029/2022GL098607, 2022
- Antarctic sea ice expansion and Southern Ocean cooling linked to tropical variability, Eui-Seok Chung, Seong-Joong Kim, Axel Timmermann, Kyung-Ja Ha, Sang-Ki Lee, Malte F. Stuecker, Keith B. Rodgers, Sun-Seon Lee, Lei Huang, Nature Climate Change, vol. 12, pp. 461-468, DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01339-z, 2022
- Climate effects on archaic human habitats and species successions, Axel Timmermann, Kyungsook Yun, Pasquale Raia, Jiaoyang Ruan, Alessandro Montanaro, Elke Zeller, Christoph Zollikofer, Marcia Ponce de León, Danielle Lemmon, Matteo Willeit, Andrey Ganopolski, Nature, vol. 604, pp. 495-501 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-04600-9, 2022
- Estimating Three-Dimensional Carbon-to-Phosphorus Stoichiometry of Exported Marine Organic Matter, Eun Young Kwon, Mark Holzer, Axel Timmermann, François Primeau, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, vol.36, 3, e2021GB007154, doi: 10.1029/2021GB007154, 2022
- Projected Reversal of Oceanic Stable Carbon Isotope Ratio Depth Gradient with Continued Anthropogenic Carbon Emissions, Eun Young Kwon, Axel Timmermann, Brett J. Tipple, Andreas Schmittner, Communications Earth & Environment, vol. 3, article number 62, DOI: 10.1038/s43247-022-00388-8, 2022
- Emergence of climate change in the tropical Pacific, Jun Ying, Matthew Collins, Wenju Cai, Axel Timmermann, Ping Huang, Dake Chen and Karl Stein, Nature Climate Change, vol. 12, 356-364, DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01301-z, 2022
- Exploring Late Pleistocene hominid dispersals, coexistence and extinction with agent-based multi-factor models, Ali R. Vahdati, John David Weissmann, Axel Timmermann, Marcia Ponce de León, Christoph P.E. Zollikofer, Quaternary Science Reviews, vol. 279, article number 107391, DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107391, 2022
- Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability, Keith B. Rodgers, Sun-Seon Lee, Nan Rosenbloom, Axel Timmermann, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Clara Deser, Jim Edwards, Ji-Eun Kim, Isla R. Simpson, Karl Stein, Malte F. Stuecker, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Tamas Bodai, Eui-Seok Chung, Lei Huang, Who M. Kim, Jean-Francois Lamarque, Danica L. Lombardozzi, William R. Wider, and Stephen G. Yeager. Earth System Dynamics, vol.12, 4, pp. 1393-1411, doi: 10.5194/esd-12-1393-2021, 2021
- Roles of insolation forcing and CO2 forcing on Late Pleistocene seasonal sea surface temperatures, Kyung Eun Lee, Steven Clemens, Yoshimi Kubota, Axel Timmermann, Ann Holbourn, Sang-Wook Yeh, Si Woong Bae, and Tae Wook Ko, Nature Communications, vol.12, 5742, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-26051-y
- Future high-resolution El Niño/Southern Oscillation dynamics, Christian Wengel, Sun-Seon Lee, Malte F. Stuecker, Axel Timmermann, Jung-Eun Chu, Fabian Schloesser, nature climate change, vol.11, 9, 758-765, DOI: 10.1038/s43017-021-00199-z, 2021
- East Asian climate response to COVID-19 lockdown measures in China, Sun-Seon Lee, Jung-Eun Chu, Axel Timmermann, Eui-Seok Chung, June-Yi Lee, Scientific Reports, vol. 11: 16852, DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-96007-1, 2021
- Changing El-Niño-Southern Oscillation in a warming climate, Wenju Cai, Agus Santoso, Matthew Collins, Boris Dewitte, Christina Karamperidou, Jong-Seong Kug, Matthieu Lengaigne, Michael McPhaden, Malte Stuecker, Andrea Taschetto, Axel Timmermann, Lixin Wu, Sang-Wook Yeh, Guojian Wang, Benjamin Ng, Fan Jia, Yun Yang, Jun Ying, Xiao-Tong Zheng, Tobias Bayr, Josephine Brown, Antonietta Capotondi, Kim Cobb, Bolan Gan, Tao Geng, Yoo-Geun Ham, Fei-Fei Jin, Hyun-Su Jo, Xichen Li, Xiaopei Lin, Shayne McGregor, Jae-Heung Park, Karl Stein, Kai Yang, Li Zhang, and Wenxiu Zhong, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, DOI: 10.1038/s43017-021-00199-z, 2021
- Spurious North Tropical Atlantic precursors to El Niño, Wenjun Zhang, Feng Jiang, Malte F. Stuecker, Fei-Fei Jin, Axel Timmermann, Nature Communications, vol. 12: 3096, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-23411-6, 2021
- Tropical Indo-Pacific SST influences on vegetation variability in eastern Africa, In-Won Kim, Malte F. Stuecker, Axel Timmermann, Elke Zeller, Jong-Seong Kug, So-Won Park, and Jin-Soo Kim, Scientific Reports, vol.11: 10462, DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-89824-x, 2021
- Long-term demise of sub-Antarctic glaciers modulated by the Southern Hemisphere Westerlies, Jostein Bakke, Øyvind Paasche, Joerg Schaefer, Axel Timmermann, Scientific Reports, vol.11: 8361, DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-87317-5, 2021
- Stable Carbon Isotopes Suggest Large Terrestrial Carbon Inputs to the Global Ocean, Eun Young Kwon, Tim DeVries, Eric Galbraith, Jeomshik Hwang, Guebuem Kim, Axel Timmermann, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, e2020GB006684, DOI: 10.1029/2020GB006684, 2021
- Increasing ENSO-rainfall variability due to changes in future tropical temperature-rainfall relationship, Kyung-Sook Yun, June-Yi Lee, Axel Timmermann, Karl Stein, Malte F. Stuecker, John C. Fyfe, Eui-Seok Chung, Communications earth & environment, 2, article number 43, doi: 10.1038/s43247-021-00108-8, 2021
- Caspian Sea and Black Sea response to greenhouse warming in a high-resolution Global Climte Model, Lei Huang, Sun-Seon Lee, Axel Timmermann, Geophysical Research Letters, 48(4), e2020GL090270, doi: 10.1029/2020GL090270, 2021
- Synchronized spatial shifts of Hadley and Walker circulations, Kyung-Sook Yun, Axel Timmermann, and Malte F. Stuecker, Earth System Dynamics, 12(1), 121-132, doi: 10.5194/esd-12-121-2021, 2021
- Cold-Season Arctic Amplification Driven by Arctic Ocean-Mediated Seasonal Energy Transfer, Euiseok Chung, Kyung-Ja Ha, Axel Timmermann, Malte F. Stuecker, Tamas Bodai, and Sangki Lee, Earth’s Future, 9(2), e2020EF001898. doi: 10.1029/2020EF001898, 2021
- Drivers of river reactivation in North Africa during the last glacial cycle, Cécile L. Blanchet, Anne H. Osborne, Rik Tjallingii, Werner Ehrmann, Tobias Friedrich, Axel Timmermann, Warner Brückmann and Martin Frank, Nature geoscience, 14(2), 97-103, doi: 10.1038/s41561-020-00671-3, 2021
- Reduced tropical cyclone densities and ocean effects due to anthropogenic greenhouse warming, Jung-Eun Chu, Sun-Seon Lee, Axel Timmermann, Christian Wengel, Malte F. Stuecker, Ryohei Yamaguchi, Science Advances, 6(51), eabd5109, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abd5109, 2020
- ENSO in a Changing Climate: Challenges, Paleo-Perspectives, and Outlook, Christina Karamperidou, Malte F Stuecker, Axel Timmermann, Kyung-Sook Yun, Sun-Seon Lee, Fei‐Fei Jin, Agus Santoso, Michael J McPhaden, Wenju Cai, El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate 253, 473, ISBN: 978-1-119-54812-6, doi: 10.1002/9781119548164.ch21, 2020
- ENSO Response to Greenhouse Forcing, Wenju Cai, Agus Santoso, Guojian Wang, Lixin Wu, Mat Collins, Matthieu Lengaigne, Scott Power, Axel Timmermann, El Niño Southern Oscillation in a Changing Climate 253, 289, ISBN: 978-1-119-54812-6, doi: 10.1002/9781119548164.ch13, 2020
- A low order dynamical model for runoff predictability, Roman Olson, Axel Timmermann, June-Yi Lee, Soon-Il An, Climate Dynamics, 56(1-2), 399-422, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05479-w, 2020
- Fokker–Planck dynamics of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Soon-Il An, Soong-Ki Kim, Axel Timmermann, Scientific Reports, 10, 16283, doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-73449-7, 2020
- Atmospheric nitrous oxide variations on centennial time scales during the past two millennia, Y. Ryu, J. Ahn, J.‐W. Yang, E. J. Brook, A. Timmermann, T. Blunier, S. Hur, S.‐J. Kim, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 34(9), e2020GB006568, doi: 10.1029/2020GB006568, 2020
- Simulating Marine Isotope Stage 7 with a coupled climate-ice sheet model, Dipayan Choudhury, Axel Timmermann, Fabian Schloesser, Malte Heinemann, David Pollard, Climate of the Past, doi: 10.5194/cp-2020-46, 2020
- Anthropogenic intensification of surface ocean interannual pCO2 variability, Angeles Gallego, Axel Timmermann, Tobias Friedrich, Richard E. Zeebe, Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (13), e2020GL087104, doi: 10.1029/2020GL087104, 2020
- Quantifying the potential causes of Neanderthal extinction: abrupt climate change versus competition and interbreeding, Axel Timmermann, Quaternary Science Reviews, doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106331, 2020
- Future changes of summer monsoon characteristics and evaporative demand over Asia in CMIP6 simulations, Kyung‐Ja Ha, Suyeon Moon, Axel Timmermann, Daeha Kim, Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (8), e2020GL087492, doi: 10.1029/2020GL087492, 2020
- Timing and magnitude of Southern Ocean sea ice/carbon cycle feedbacks, Karl Stein, Axel Timmermann, Eun Young Kwon, Tobias Friedrich, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117 (9), 4498-4504, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1908670117, 2020
- Using Late Pleistocene sea surface temperature reconstructions to constrain future greenhouse warming, Tobias Friedrich, Axel Timmermann, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 530, doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2019.115911, 2020
- Strong remote control of future equatorial warming by off-equatorial forcing, Malte F Stuecker, Axel Timmermann, Fei-Fei Jin, Cristian Proistosescu, Sarah M. Kang, Doyeon Kim, Kyung-Sook Yun, Eui-Seok Chung, Jung-Eun Chu, Cecilia M. Bitz, Kyle C. Armour, Michiya Hayashi, Nature Climate Change, 10, 124-129, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0667-6, 2020
- Climate-human interaction associated with southeast Australian megafauna extinction patterns, Frédérik Saltré, Joël Chadoeuf, Katharina J. Peters, Matthew C. McDowell, Tobias Friedrich, Axel Timmermann, Sean Ulm & Corey J. A. Bradshaw, Nature Communications, 10, 5311, doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-13277-0, 2019
- Human origins in a southern African palaeo-wetland and first migrations, Eva K. F. Chan, Axel Timmermann, Benedetta F. Baldi, Andy E. Moore, Ruth J. Lyons, Sun-Seon Lee, Anton M. F. Kalsbeek, Desiree C. Petersen, Hannes Rautenbach, Hagen E. A. Förtsch, M. S. Riana Bornman, Vanessa M. Hayes, Nature, 575 (7781), 185-159, doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-1714-1, 2019
- Nonlinear response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to late Quaternary sea level and climate forcing, Michelle Tigchelaar, Axel Timmermann, Tobias Friedrich, Malte Heinemann, David Pollard, The Cryosphere, doi: 10.5194/tc-13-2615-2019, 2019
- Mediterranean winter rainfall in phase with African monsoons during the past 1.36 million years, Bernd Wagner, Hendrik Vogel, Alexander Francke, Tobias Friedrich, Timme Donders, Jack H. Lacey, Melanie J. Leng, Eleonora Regattieri, Laura Sadori, Thomas Wilke, Giovanni Zanchetta, Christian Albrecht, Adele Bertini, Nathalie Combourieu-Nebout, Aleksandra Cvetkoska, Biagio Giaccio, Andon Grazhdani, Torsten Hauffe, Jens Holtvoeth, Sebastien Joannin, Elena Jovanovska, Janna Just, Katerina Kouli, Ilias Kousis, Andreas Koutsodendris, Sebastian Krastel, Markus Lagos, Niklas Leicher, Zlatko Levkov, Katja Lindhorst, Alessia Masi, Martin Melles, Anna M. Mercuri, Sebastien Nomade, Norbert Nowaczyk, Konstantinos Panagiotopoulos, Odile Peyron, Jane M. Reed, Leonardo Sagnotti, Gaia Sinopoli, Björn Stelbrink, Roberto Sulpizio, Axel Timmermann, Slavica Tofilovska, Paola Torri, Friederike Wagner-Cremer, Thomas Wonik, Xiaosen Zhang, Nature, 573 (7773), 256-260, doi: 10.1038/s41586-019-1529-0, 2019
- Drivers of Late Pleistocene human survival and dispersal: an agent-based modeling and machine learning approach, Ali R. Vahdati, John David Weissmann, Axel Timmermann, Marcia S.Ponce de León, Christoph P.E.Zollikofer, Quaternary Science Reviews, 221, doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.105867, 2019
- North American April tornado occurrences linked to global sea surface temperature anomalies, Jung-Eun Chu, Axel Timmermann, June-Yi Lee, Science Advances, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aaw9950, 2019
- Antarctic iceberg impacts on future Southern Hemisphere Climate, Fabian Schloesser, Tobias Friedrich, Axel Timmermann, Robert M. DeConto, David Pollard, Nature Climate Change, 9(9), 672-677, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0546-1, 2019
- A drift-free decadal climate prediction system for the Community Earth System Model, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, Axel Timmermann, Matthew J. Widlansky, Shaoqing Zhang, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0788.1, 2019
- Saharan green corridors and Middle Pleistocene hominin dispersals across the Eastern Desert, Sudan, M. Masojć, A. Nassr, J. Y. Kim, J. Krupa-Kurzynowska, Y. K. Sohn, M. Szmit, J. C. Kim, J. S. Kim, H. W. Choi, M. Wieczorek, A. Timmermann, Journal of Human Evolution, 130, 141-150, doi: 10.1016/j.jhevol.2019.01.004, 2019
- Calibration uncertainties of tropical Pacific climate reconstructions over the Last Millennium, K.-S. Yun, A. Timmermann, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0524.1, 2019
- Reconciling opposing Walker circulation trends in observations and model projections, E.-S. Chung, A. Timmermann, B. J. Soden, K.-J. Ha, L, Shi, V, O. John, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0446-4, 2019
- Sea ice variability in the southern Norwegian Sea during glacial Dansgaard-Oeschger climate cycles, H. Sadatzki, T. M. Dokken, S. M. P. Berben, F. Muschitiello, R. Stein, K. Fahl, L. Menviel, A. Timmermann, E. Jansen, Science Advances, 5(3), doi:10.1126/sciadv.aau6174, 2019
- Glacial changes in tropical climate amplified by the Indian Ocean, P. N. DiNezio, J. E. Tierney, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, A. Timmermann, T. Bhattacharya, N. Rosenbloom, E. Brady, Science Advances, 4(12), doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aat9658, 2018
- Drivers of future seasonal cycle changes in oceanic pCO2, M. A Gallego, A Timmermann, T Friedrich, R E. Zeebe, Biogeosciences, 15, 5315-5327, doi: 10.5194/bg-15-5315-2018, 2018
- Disentangling Impacts of Dynamic and Thermodynamic Components on Late Summer Rainfall Anomalies in East Asia, H Oh, K.-J Ha, A Timmermann, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 0(0), 1-11, doi: 10.1029/2018JD028652, 2018
- El Niño–Southern Oscillation complexity, A Timmermann, S-I An, J-S Kug, F-F Jin, W Cai, A Capotondi, K Cobb, M Lengaigne, M J. McPhaden, M F. Stuecker, K Stein, A T. Wittenberg, K-S Yun, T Bayr, H-C Chen, Y Chikamoto, B Dewitte, D Dommenget, P Grothe, E Guilyardi, Y-G Ham, M Hayashi, S Ineson, D Kang, S Kim, WM Kim, J-Y Lee, T Li, J-J Luo, S McGregor, Y Planton, S Power, H Rashid, H-L Ren, A Santoso, K Takahashi, A Todd, G Wang, G Wang, R Xie, W-H Yang, S-W Yeh, J Yoon, E Zeller, X Zhang, Nature, 559, 535-545, doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6, 2018
- Did our species evolve in subdivided populations across Africa, and why does it matter?, E M.L. Scerri, M G. Thomas, A Manica, P Gunz, J T. Stock, C Stringer, M Grove, H S. Groucutt, A Timmermann, G. P Rightmire, F d’Errico, C A. Tryon, N A. Drake, A S. Brooks, R W. Dennell, R W. Dennell, R Durbin, B M. Henn, J L-Thorp, P deMenocal, M D. Petraglia, J C. Thompson, A Scally, L Chikhi, Trends in Ecology and Evolution, doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2018.05.005, 2018
- Local insolation changes enhance Antarctic interglacials: Insights from an 800,000-year ice sheet simulation with transient climate forcing, M Tigchelaar, A Timmermann, D Pollard, T Friedrich, M Heinemann, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 495, 69-78, doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2018.05.004, 2018
- Precession and atmospheric CO2 modulated variability of sea ice in the central Okhotsk Sea since 130,000 years ago, L Lo, S T. Belt, J Lattaud, T Friedrich, C Zeeden, S Schouten, L Smik, A Timmermann, P Cabedo-Sanz, J-J Huang, L Zhou, T-H Ou, Y-P Chang, L-C Wang, Y-M Chou, C-C Shen, M-T Chen, K-Y Wei, S-R Song, T-H Fang, S A. Gorbarenko, W-L Wang, T-Q Lee, H Elderfield, D A. Hodell, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2018.02.005, 2018
- Decadal Monsoon-ENSO relationships re-examined, KS Yun, A Timmermann, Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (4), doi: 10.1002/2017GL076912, 2018
- (Un)predictability of strong El Niño events, J Guckenheimer, A Timmermann, H Dijkstra, A Roberts, Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System, doi: 10.1093/climsys/dzx004, 2017
- Multi-year predictability of climate, drought, and wildfire in southwestern North America, Y Chikamoto, A Timmermann, M Widlansky, MA Balmaseda, L Stott, Scientific Reports, 7, 6568, doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-06869-7, 2017
- Revisiting ENSO/Indian Ocean Dipole phase relationships, M Stuecker, A Timmermann, FF Jin, Y Chikamoto, W Zhang, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, doi: 10.1002/2016GL072308, 2017
- Nonlinear climate sensitivity and its implications for future greenhouse warming, T Friedrich, A Timmermann, M Tigchelaar, O Elison Timm, A Ganopolski, Science Advances, 2 (11), doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1501923, 2016
- Unraveling El Niño’s impact on the East Asian Monsoon and Yangtze River summer flooding, W Zhang, FF Jin, MF Stuecker, AT Wittenberg, A Timmermann, HL Ren, Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (21), doi 10.1002/2016GL071190, 2016
- Tropical Pacific SST drivers of recent Antarctic sea ice trends, A Purich, M England, W Cai, Y Chikamoto, A Timmermann, J Fyfe, Journal of Climate, doi: 10.1175 JCLI-D-16, 2016
- Strong middepth warming and weak radiocarbon imprints in the equatorial Atlantic during Heinrich 1 and Younger Dryas, S Weldeab, T Friedrich, A Timmermann, R Schneider Paleoceanography 31, doi: 10.1002/2016PA002957, 2016
- Potential tropical Atlantic impacts on Pacific decadal climate trends, Y Chikamoto, T Mochizuki, A Timmermann, M Kimoto, M Watanabe, Geophysical Research Letters 43, 10.1002/2016GL069544, 2016
- The climate response of the Indo‐Pacific warm pool to glacial sea level, PN Di Nezio, A Timmermann, JE Tierney, FF Jin, B Otto‐Bliesner, Paleoceanography, doi: 10.1002/2015PA002890, 2016
- Reply to “Comments on Combination Mode Dynamics of the Anomalous Northwest Pacific Anticyclone”, MF Stuecker, FF Jin, A Timmermann, S McGregor J. Climate, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0558, 2016
- Late Pleistocene climate drivers of early human migration A Timmermann, To. Friedrich, Nature, 538 (92-95), doi: 10.1038/nature19365, 2016
- Mixed-Mode Oscillations of El Niño–Southern Oscillation A Roberts, J Guckenheimer, E Widiasih, A Timmermann, CKRT Jones Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 73, 1755-1766, 2016
- Volcanic eruptions boost tropical Pacific biological productivity MO Chikamoto, A Timmermann, M Yoshimori, L F., A Laurian, Geophysical Research Letter 43, 10.1002/2015GL067359, 2016
- Millennial to orbital-scale variations of drought intensity in the Eastern Mediterranean M Stockhecke, A Timmermann, R Kipfer, GH Haug, O Kwiecien Quaternary Science Reviews 133, 77-95, 2016
- Mechanisms and predictability of multiyear ecosystem variability in the North Pacific, M.O. Chikamoto, A. Timmermann, Y. Chikamoto, H. Tokinaga, N. Harada, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29(11), 2001-2019, doi: 10.1002/2015GB005096, 2015
- Charging El Niño with off-equatorial westerly wind events S McGregor, A Timmermann, FF Jin, WS Kessler Climate Dynamics 45, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2891-8, 2015
- The El Nino-Southern Oscillation frequency cascade, MF Stuecker F -F Jin, and A Timmermann, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112, doi:10.1073/pnas.1508622112 2015
- Abrupt onset and prolongation of aragonite undersaturation events in the Southern Ocean, C Hauri, T Friedrich, A Timmermann, Nature Climate Change, 5, doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2844, 2015
- Future extreme sea level seesaws in the tropical Pacific, M Widlansky, A Timmermann, W Cai, Science Advances, 1 (8), doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500560, 2015
- An Atlantic-Pacific ventilation seesaw across the last deglaciation, E Freeman, LC Skinner, A Tisserand, T Dokken, A Timmermann, Earth and Planetary Science Letters 424, 237-244, 2015
- Skilful multi-year predictions of tropical trans-basin climate variability, Y Chikamoto, A Timmermann, JJ Luo, T Mochizuki, M Kimoto, Nature Communications, doi: 10.1038/ncomms7869, 2015
- The response of ENSO flavors to mid-Holocene climate: Implications for proxy interpretation, C Karamperidou, PM Di Nezio, A Timmermann, FF Jin, KM Cobb, Paleoceanography, 30, doi, 10.1002/2014PA002742, 2015
- Combination Mode Dynamics of the Anomalous Northwest Pacific Anticyclone, MF Stuecker, FF Jin, A Timmermann, S McGregor, Journal of Climate 28 (3), 1093-1111, 3, 2015
- Decadal predictability of soil water, vegetation, and wildfire frequency over North America, Y Chikamoto, A Timmermann, S Stevenson, P DiNezio, S Langford, Climate Dynamics, 5, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2469-5, 2015
- Abrupt changes in the southern extent of North Atlantic DeepWater during Dansgaard-Oeschger events, J Gottschalk, LC Skinner, S Misra, C Waelbroeck, L Menviel, A. Timmermann, Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/ngeo2558, 2015
- Mechanisms rectifying the annual mean response of tropical Atlantic rainfall to precessional forcing, M Tigchelaar, A Timmermann, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2835-3, 2015
- Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation (TBO) indistinguishable from white noise, M Stuecker, A Timmermann, J Yoon, FF Jin, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2015GL065878, 2015
- ENSO and greenhouse warming, Wenju Cai, Agus Santoso, Guojian Wang, Sang-Wook Yeh, Soon-Il An, Kim M. Cobb, Mat Collins, Eric Guilyardi, Fei-Fei Jin, Jong-Seong Kug, Matthieu Lengaigne, Michael J. McPhaden, Ken Takahashi, Axel Timmermann, Gabriel Vecchi, Masahiro Watanabe, Lixin Wu, Nature Climate Change 5, 849-859, 2015
- Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming, W Cai, G Wang, A Santoso, MJ McPhaden, L Wu, FF Jin, A Timmermann, M Collins, G Vecchi, M Lengaigne, MH England, D Dommenget, K Takahashi and E Guilyardi, Nature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2492, 2014
- The Holocene temperature conundrum, Z Liu, J Zhu, Y Rosenthal, X Zhang, BL Otto-Bliesner, A Timmermann, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (34), E3501-E3505, 2014
- Evolution and Forcing Mechanisms of El Niño over the Last 21,000, Z Liu, Z Lu, X Wen, BL Otto-Bliesner, A Timmermann, K. M. Cobb, Nature, 515, 550-553, 2014.
- Millennial-scale Atlantic/East Pacific sea surface temperature linkages during the last 100,000 years, N Dubois, M Kienast, SS Kienast, A Timmermann, Earth and Planetary Science Letters 396, 134-142, 2014
- Assessing divergent SST behavior during the last 21 ka derived from alkenones and G. ruber Mg/Ca in the Equatorial Pacific, A Timmermann, J Sachs, O Elison Timm, Paleoceanography, DOI: 10.1002/2013PA002598, 2014
- Millennial-scale variability in Antarctic ice-sheet discharge during the last deglaciation, ME Weber, PU Clark, G Kuhn, A Timmermann, D Sprenk, R Gladstone, Nature 510, 134-138, 2014
- The role of soil processes in δ18O terrestrial climate proxies, LC Kanner, NH Buenning, LD Stott, A Timmermann, D Noone, Global Biogeochemical Cycles 28 (3), 239-252, 2014
- Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus, MH England, S McGregor, P Spence, GA Meehl, A Timmermann, W Cai, Nature Climate Change 4 (3), 222-227, 2014
- Modeling Obliquity and CO2 Effects on Southern Hemisphere Climate during the Past 408 ka, A Timmermann, T Friedrich, OE Timm, MO Chikamoto, A Abe-Ouchi, Journal of Climate 27 (5), 1863-1875, 2014
- CO2 radiative forcing and Intertropical Convergence Zone influences on western Pacific warm pool climate over the past 400 ka, K Tachikawa, A Timmermann, L Vidal, C Sonzogni, OE Timm, Quaternary Science Reviews 86, 24-34, 2014
- Using palaeo-climate comparisons to constrain future projections in CMIP5, GA Schmidt, JD Annan, PJ Bartlein, BI Cook, E Guilyardi, JC Hargreaves, SP Harrison, M Kageyama, AN LeGrande, B Konecky, S Lovejoy, ME Mann, V Masson-Delmotte, C Risi, D Thompson, A Timmermann, LB Tremblay, and P Yiou, Climate of the Past 10 (1), 221-250, 2014
- Deglacial ice/sheet meltdown: orbital pacemaking and CO2 effects, M Heinemann, A Timmermann, OE Timm, F Saito, A Abe-Ouchi, Climate of the Past 10, 1567–1579, 2014
- An interhemispheric tropical sea level seesaw due to El Niño Taimasa, MJ Widlansky, A Timmermann, S McGregor, MF Stuecker, W Cai, Journal of Climate 27 (3), 1070-1081, 2014
- Dynamics of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Part 2: Forcing by winds and buoyancy, F Schloesser, R Furue, JP McCreary, A Timmermann, Progress in Oceanography 120, 154-176, 2014
- Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming, W Cai, S Borlace, M Lengaigne, P Van Rensch, M Collins, G Vecchi, A Timmermann, Nature Climate Change 4, 111-116, 2014
- Hindcasting the continuum of Dansgaard/Oeschger variability: mechanisms, patterns and timing, L Menviel, A Timmermann, T Friedrich, MH England, Climate of the Past 10 (1), 63-77, 2014
- Recent Walker circulation strengthening and Pacific cooling amplified by Atlantic warming, S McGregor, A Timmermann, MF Stuecker, MH England, M Merrifield, Nature Climate Change 4, doi:10.1038/nclimate2330, 2014
- ENSO seasonal synchronization theory, K Stein, A Timmermann, N Schneider, FF Jin, MF Stuecker, Journal of Climate, 27, 5285–5310, 2014
- Improved Representation of Tropical Pacific Ocean/Atmosphere Dynamics in an Intermediate Complexity Climate Model, RL Sriver, A Timmermann, ME Mann, K Keller, H Goosse, Journal of Climate 27 (1), 168-185, 2014
- Near collapse of the meridional SST gradient in the eastern equatorial Pacific during Heinrich Stadial 1, SS Kienast, T Friedrich, N Dubois, PS Hill, A Timmermann, AC Mix, , Paleoceanography 28 (4), 663-674, 2013
- Zonal phase propagation of ENSO sea surface temperature anomalies: Revisited, J Boucharel, A Timmermann, FF Jin Geophysical Research Letters 40 (15), 4048-4053, 2013
- Information from paleoclimate archives. In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, V Masson-Delmotte, M Schulz, A Abe-Ouchi, J Beer, A Ganopolski, JF González Rouco, E Jansen, K Lambeck, J Luterbacher, T Naish, T Osborn, B Otto-Bliesner, T Quinn, R Ramesh, M Rojas, X Shao, and A Timmermann, 2013:. T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Doschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P.M. Midgley, Eds. Cambridge University Press, 383-464, doi::10.1017/CBO9781107415324.013.
- Inferred changes in El Niño-Southern Oscillation variance over the past six centuries, S McGregor, A Timmermann, MH England, O Elison Timm, AT Wittenberg, Climate of the Past 9 2269-2284, 2013.
- A combination mode of the annual cycle and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation, MF Stuecker, A Timmermann, FF Jin, S McGregor, HL Ren, Nature Geoscience, 6, 540–544, 2013
- Estimated strength of the Atlantic overturning circulation during the last deglaciation, SP Ritz, TF Stocker, JO Grimalt, L Menviel, A Timmermann, Nature Geoscience, 6, 208–212, 2013
- Links between tropical rainfall and North Atlantic climate during the last glacial period, G Deplazes, A Lueckge, LC Peterson, A Timmermann, Y Hamann, KA Hughen, Nature Geoscience, 6, 213–217 ,2013
- Changes in South Pacific rainfall bands in a warming climate, MJ Widlansky, A Timmermann, K Stein, S McGregor, N Schneider, MH England, Nature Climate Change, 3, 417–423 , 2012
- Millennial-scale glacial meltwater pulses and their effect on the spatiotemporal benthic d18O variability, T Friedrich, A Timmermann, Paleoceanography 27 (3), doi: 10.1029/2012PA002330, 2012
- Dynamics of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Part 1: Buoyancy-forced response, F Schloesser, R Furue, JP McCreary Jr, A Timmermann, Progress in Oceanography 101 (1), 33-62, 2012
- More extreme swings of the South Pacific convergence zone due to greenhouse warming, W Cai, M Lengaigne, S Borlace, M Collins, T Cowan, MJ McPhaden, A Timmermann , Nature 488 (7411), 365-369, 2012
- The Effect of the South Pacific Convergence Zone on the Termination of El Niño Events and the Meridional Asymmetry of ENSO, S McGregor, A Timmermann, N Schneider, MF Stuecker, MH England, Journal of Climate 25 (16), 5566-5586, 2012
- Role of the Bering Strait on the hysteresis of the ocean conveyor belt circulation and glacial climate stability, A Hu, GA Meehl, W Han, A Timmermann, B Otto-Bliesner, Z Liu, WM Washington , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109 (17), 6417-6422, 2012
- Climate change dynamics of present and past in the North Pacific and its northern marginal seas, N Harada, K Takahashi, A Timmermann, T Sakamoto, Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 61, 1-3, 2012
- Sea surface temperature changes in the Okhotsk Sea and adjacent North Pacific during the last glacial maximum and deglaciation, N Harada, M Sato, O Seki, A Timmermann, H Moossen, J Bendle, Y Nakamura, K , Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 61, 93-105, 2012
- Variability in North Pacific intermediate and deep water ventilation during Heinrich events in two coupled climate models, MO Chikamoto, L Menviel, A Abe-Ouchi, R Ohgaito, A Timmermann, Y Okazaki, N , Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 61, 114-126, 2012
- Removing the North Pacific halocline: effects on global climate, ocean circulation and the carbon cycle, L Menviel, A Timmermann, O Elison Timm, A Mouchet, A Abe-Ouchi, MO Chikamoto , Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography 61, 106-113, 2012
- Quantifying the ocean’s role in glacial CO2 reductions, MO Chikamoto, A Abe-Ouchi, A Oka, R Ohgaito, A Timmermann, Climate of the Past 8 (2), 545-563, 2012
- Regional Patterns of Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Change: Evidence of the Walker Circulation Weakening, H Tokinaga, SP Xie, A Timmermann, S McGregor, T Ogata, H Kubota, YM Okumura, Journal of Climate 25 (5), 1689-1710, 2012
- Enhanced warming over the global subtropical western boundary currents, L Wu, W Cai, L Zhang, H Nakamura, A Timmermann, T Joyce, MJ McPhaden, M Nature Climate Change 2 (3), 161-166, 2012
- Detecting regional anthropogenic trends in ocean acidification against natural variability, T Friedrich, A Timmermann, A Abe-Ouchi, NR Bates, MO Chikamoto, MJ Church , Nature Climate Change 2 (3), 167-171, 2012
- Impacts of ocean gateway and basin width on tertiary tropical climate variability in a prototype model, SI An, JH Park, BM Kim, A Timmermann, FF Jin, Theoretical and Applied Climatology 107 (1-2), 155-164, 2012
- The effect of topography-enhanced diapycnal mixing on ocean and atmospheric circulation and marine biogeochemistry, T Friedrich, A Timmermann, T Decloedt, DS Luther, A Mouchet, Ocean Modelling 39 (3), 262-274, 2011
- Phase synchronization of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation with the annual cycle, K Stein, A Timmermann, N Schneider, Physical Review Letters 107 (12), 128501, 2011
- Reduced interannual rainfall variability in East Africa during the last ice age, C Wolff, GH Haug, A Timmermann, JSS Damst_, A Brauer, DM Sigman, MA Cane, D , Science 333 (6043), 743-747, 2011
- Evidence for 800years of North Atlantic multi-decadal variability from a Puerto Rican speleothem, A Winter, T Miller, Y Kushnir, A Sinha, A Timmermann, MR Jury, C Gallup, H , Earth and Planetary Science Letters 308 (1), 23-28, 2011
- Deconstructing the Last Glacial termination: the role of millennial and orbital-scale forcings, L Menviel, A Timmermann, OE Timm, A Mouchet, Quaternary Science Reviews 30 (9), 1155-1172, 2011
- The effect of explosive tropical volcanism on ENSO, S McGregor, A Timmermann, Journal of Climate 24 (8), 2178-2191, 2011
- Interactions between marine biota and ENSO: a conceptual model analysis, M Heinemann, A Timmermann, U Feudel, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 18 (1), 29-40, 2011
- Hypothesized link between glacial/interglacial atmospheric CO2 cycles and storage/release of CO2-rich fluids from deep-sea sediments, L Stott, A Timmermann, Geophysical Monograph Series 193, 123-138, 2011
- Promotion of glacial ice sheet buildup 60?115 kyr BP by precessionally paced Northern Hemispheric meltwater pulses, A Timmermann, J Knies, OE Timm, A Abe-Ouchi, T Friedrich, Paleoceanography 25 (4), 2010
- Climate and biogeochemical response to a rapid melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet during interglacials and implications for future climate, L Menviel, A Timmermann, OE Timm, A Mouchet, Paleoceanography 25 (4), 2010
- Geochemical and climate modeling evidence for Holocene aridification in Hawaii: dynamic response to a weakening equatorial cold tongue, J Uchikawa, BN Popp, JE Schoonmaker, A Timmermann, SJ Lorenz, Quaternary Science Reviews 29 (23), 3057-3066, 2010
- Seasonal Synchronization of ENSO Events in a Linear Stochastic Model, K Stein, N Schneider, A Timmermann, FF Jin, Journal of Climate 23 (21), 5629-5643, 2010
- Warming seas in the Coral Triangle: coral reef vulnerability and management implications, E McLeod, R Moffitt, A Timmermann, R Salm, L Menviel, MJ Palmer, ER Selig , Coastal Management 38 (5), 518-539, 2010
- The mechanism behind internally generated centennial-to-millennial scale climate variability in an earth system model of intermediate complexity, T Friedrich, A Timmermann, L Menviel, O Elison Timm, A Mouchet, DM Roche, Geoscientific Model Development 3 (2), 377-389, 2010
- Wind effects on past and future regional Sea level trends in the Southern Indo-Pacific, A Timmermann, S McGregor, FF Jin, Journal of Climate 23 (16), 4429-4437, 2010
- Deepwater formation in the North Pacific during the last glacial termination, Y Okazaki, A Timmermann, L Menviel, N Harada, A Abe-Ouchi, MO Chikamoto, A , Science 329 (5988), 200-204, 2010
- Early Pliocene increase in thermohaline overturning: A precondition for the development of the modern equatorial Pacific cold tongue, S Steph, R Tiedemann, M Prange, J Groeneveld, M Schulz, A Timmermann, D , Paleoceanography 25 (2), 2010
- The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño, M Collins, SI An, W Cai, A Ganachaud, E Guilyardi, FF Jin, M Jochum, M Lengaigne, S Power, A Timmermann, Nature Geoscience 3 (6), 391-397, 2010
- Reconstructing surface temperature changes over the past 600 years using climate model simulations with data assimilation, H Goosse, E Crespin, A de Montety, ME Mann, H Renssen, A Timmermann, Journal of Geophysical Research 115 (D9), D09108, 2010
- Mechanisms for the Onset of the African Humid Period and Sahara Greening 14.5-11 ka BP, Timm, P Koehler, A Timmermann, L Menviel, Journal of Climate 23 (10), 2612-2633, 2010
- Impact of diurnal atmosphere-ocean coupling on tropical climate simulations using a coupled GCM, YG Ham, JS Kug, IS Kang, FF Jin, A Timmermann, Climate Dynamics 34 (6), 905-917, 2010
- The inverse effect of annual-mean state and annual-cycle changes on ENSO, SI An, YG Ham, JS Kug, A Timmermann, J Choi, IS Kang, Journal of Climate 23 (5), 1095-1110, 2010
- Towards a quantitative understanding of millennial-scale Antarctic warming events, A Timmermann, L Menviel, Y Okumura, A Schilla, U Merkel, O Timm, A Hu, B , Quaternary Science Reviews 29 (1), 74-85, 2010
- A unified proxy for ENSO and PDO variability since 1650, S McGregor, A Timmermann, O Timm, Climate of the Past 6 (1), 1-17, 2010
- Orbital modulation of millennial-scale climate variability in an earth system model of intermediate complexity, T Friedrich, A Timmermann, O Timm, A Mouchet, DM Roche, Climate of the Past Discussions 5 (4), 2019-2051, 2009
- What Drives Climate Flip-Flops?, A Timmermann, L Menviel, Science 325 (5938), 273-274, 2009
- Effects of biologically induced differential heating in an eddy/permitting coupled ocean-ecosystem model, U Loeptien, C Eden, A Timmermann, H Dietze, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans (1978-2012) 114 (C6) , 2009
- Radiocarbon age anomaly at intermediate water depth in the Pacific Ocean during the last deglaciation, L Stott, J Southon, A Timmermann, A Koutavas, Paleoceanography 24 (2), doi: 10.1029/2008PA001690, 2009
- The Roles of CO2 and Orbital Forcing in Driving Southern Hemispheric Temperature Variations during the Last 21 000 Yr, A Timmermann, O Timm, L Stott, L Menviel, Journal of Climate 22 (7), 1626-1640, 2009
- North Pacific climate response to freshwater forcing in the subarctic North Atlantic: Oceanic and atmospheric pathways, YM Okumura, C Deser, A Hu, A Timmermann, SP Xie, Journal of Climate 22 (6), 1424-1445, 2009
- A mid-Holocene transition in the nitrogen dynamics of the western equatorial Pacific: Evidence of a deepening thermocline? M Kienast, MF Lehmann, A Timmermann, E Galbraith, T Bolliet, A Holbourn, C , Geophysical Research Letters 35 (23), L23610, 2008
- Climate and marine carbon cycle response to changes in the strength of the Southern Hemispheric westerlies, L Menviel, A Timmermann, A Mouchet, O Timm, Paleoceanography 23 (4), 2008
- Influences of Atlantic Climate Change on the Tropical Pacific via the Central American Isthmus, SP Xie, Y Okumura, T Miyama, A Timmermann, Journal of Climate 21 (15), 3914-3928, 2008
- On the definition of seasons in paleoclimate simulations with orbital forcing, Timm, A Timmermann, A Abe-Ouchi, F Saito, T Segawa, Paleoceanography 23 (2), PA2221, 2008
- Meridional reorganizations of marine and terrestrial productivity during Heinrich events, L Menviel, A Timmermann, A Mouchet, O Timm, Paleoceanography 23 (1), 2008
- Effects of Salt Compensation on the Climate Model Response in Simulations of Large Changes of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, TF Stocker, A Timmermann, M Renold, O Timm, Journal of Climate 20 (24), 5912-5928, 2007
- Eastern tropical Pacific hydrologic changes during the past 27,000 years from D/H ratios in alkenones, K Pahnke, JP Sachs, L Keigwin, A Timmermann, SP Xie, Paleoceanography 22 (4), 2007
- Southern hemisphere and deep-sea warming led deglacial atmospheric CO2 rise and tropical warming, L Stott, A Timmermann, R Thunell, Science 318 (5849), 435-438, 2007
- Tropical air-sea interactions accelerate the recovery of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation after a major shutdown, U Krebs, A Timmermann, Journal of Climate 20 (19), 4940-4956 , 2007
- The influence of a weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on ENSO, A Timmermann, Y Okumura, SI An, A Clement, B Dong, E Guilyardi, A Hu, JH , Journal of Climate 20 (19), 4899-4919, 2007
- Simulation of the Last 21 000 Years Using Accelerated Transient Boundary Conditions, Timm, A Timmermann, Journal of Climate 20 (17), 4377-4401, 2007
- The effect of orbital forcing on the mean climate and variability of the tropical Pacific, A Timmermann, SJ Lorenz, SI An, A Clement, SP Xie, Journal of Climate 20 (16), 4147-4159, 2007
- Modulation of the bipolar seesaw in the Southeast Pacific during Termination 1, F Lamy, J Kaiser, HW Arz, D Hebbeln, U Ninnemann, O Timm, A Timmermann, JR , Earth and Planetary Science Letters 259 (3), 400-413, 2007
- Fast advective recovery of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation after a Heinrich event, U Krebs, A Timmermann, Paleoceanography 22 (1), doi: 10.1029/2005PA001259, 2007
- The Influence of ENSO on the Generation of Decadal Variability in the North Pacific, SI An, JS Kug, A Timmermann, IS Kang, O Timm, Journal of Climate 20 (4), 667-680, 2007
- Ensemble-mean dynamics of the ENSO recharge oscillator under state-dependent stochastic forcing, FF Jin, L Lin, A Timmermann, J Zhao, Geophysical Research Letters 34 (3), 2007
- Using paleoclimate proxy-data to select optimal realisations in an ensemble of simulations of the climate of the past millennium, H Goosse, H Renssen, A Timmermann, RS Bradley, ME Mann, Climate Dynamics 27 (2-3), 165-184, 2006
- Sub-Milankovitch cycles in periplatform carbonates from the early Pliocene Great Bahama Bank, L Reuning, JJG Reijmer, C Betzler, A Timmermann, S Steph, Paleoceanography 21 (1), 2006
- Predictability of coupled processes, A Timmermann, FF Jin, Predictability of Weather and Climate, 251-274, 2006
- An initial intercomparison of atmospheric and oceanic climatology for the ICE-5G and ICE-4G models of LGM paleotopography, F Justino, A Timmermann, U Merkel, WR Peltier, Journal of Climate 19 (1), 3-14, 2006
- The origin of the” European Medieval Warm Period”, H Goosse, O Arzel, J Luterbacher, ME Mann, H Renssen, N Riedwyl, A Timmermann, E Xoplaki, H Wanner, Climate of the Past 2, 99-113, 2006
- Mechanisms for millennial-scale global synchronization during the last glacial period, A Timmermann, U Krebs, F Justino, H Goosse, T Ivanochko, Paleoceanography 20 (4), doi: 10.1029/2004PA0010902005, 2005
- Synoptic Reorganization of Atmospheric Flow during the Last Glacial Maximum, F Justino, A Timmermann, U Merkel, EP Souza, Journal of climate 18 (15), 2826-2846, 2005
- ENSO Suppression due to Weakening of the North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation, A Timmermann, SI An, U Krebs, H Goosse, Journal of Climate 18 (16), 3122-3139, 2005
- Internal and forced climate variability during the last millennium: a model-data comparison using ensemble simulations, H Goosse, H Renssen, A Timmermann, RS Bradley, Quaternary Science Reviews 24 (12), 1345-1360, 2005
- Biophysical feedbacks in the tropical Pacific, B Marzeion, A Timmermann, R Murtugudde, FF Jin, Journal of Climate 18 (1), 58-70, 2005
- An organizing center for thermohaline excitability, J Abshagen, A Timmermann, Journal of Physical Oceanography 34 (12), 2756-2760, 2004
- Modeling evidence for enhanced El Niño-Southern Oscillation amplitude during the Last Glacial Maximum, SI An, A Timmermann, L Bejarano, FF Jin, F Justino, Z Liu, AW Tudhope,Paleoceanography 19 (4), 2004
- Glacial-interglacial contrast in climate variability at centennial-to-millennial timescales: observations and conceptual model, M Schulz, A Paul, A Timmermann, Quaternary Science Reviews 23 (20), 2219-2230, 2004
- Nonlinear dimensionality reduction in climate data, AJ Gamez, CS Zhou, A Timmermann, J Kurths, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 11 (3), 393-398, 2004
- Surface temperature control in the North and tropical Pacific during the last glacial maximum, A Timmermann, F Justino, FF Jin, U Krebs, H Goosse, Climate dynamics 23 (3-4), 353-370, 2004
- Strong hemispheric coupling of glacial climate through freshwater discharge and ocean circulation, R Knutti, J Flueckiger, TF Stocker, A Timmermann, Nature 430 (7002), 851-856, 2004
- The influence of the Galapagos Islands on tropical temperatures, currents and the generation of tropical instability waves, C Eden, A Timmermann, Geophysical Research Letters 31 (15), 2004
- Intensification of the annual cycle in the tropical Pacific due to greenhouse warming, A Timmermann, FF Jin, M Collins, Geophysical Research Letters 31 (12), 2004
- Is the wind stress forcing essential for the meridional overturning circulation?, A Timmermann, H Goosse, Geophysical Research Letters 31 (4), 2004
- Coherent resonant millennial-scale climate oscillations triggered by massive meltwater pulses, A Timmermann, H Gildor, M Schulz, E Tziperman, Journal of Climate 16 (15), 2569-2585, 2003
- Decadal ENSO amplitude modulations: A nonlinear paradigm, A Timmermann, Global and Planetary Change 37 (1), 135-156, 2003
- Potential feedbacks between Pacific Ocean ecosystems and interdecadal climate variations, AJ Miller, MA Alexander, GJ Boer, F Chai, K Denman, DJ Erickson III, R Frouin, A. Gabruc, EA Laws, MR Lewis, Z Liu, R Murtugudde, S Nakamoto, DJ Neilson, JR Norris, JC Ohlmann, RI Perry, N Schneider, KM Shell, A Timmermann, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 84 (5), 617-633, 2003
- Strong El Niño events and nonlinear dynamical heating, FF Jin, SI An, A Timmermann, J Zhao, Geophysical research letters 30 (3), 20-1-20-1, 2003
- Cyclic Markov Chains with an Application to ENSO Predictability, R Pasmanter, A Timmermann, Nonlinear Processes Geophysics, 201-214, 2003
- A nonlinear theory for El Niño bursting, A Timmermann, FF Jin, J Abshagen, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 60 (1), 152-165, 2003
- Relaxation oscillators in concert: A framework for climate change at millennial timescales during the late Pleistocene, M Schulz, A Paul, A Timmermann, Geophysical Research Letters 29 (24), 2193, 2002
- Phytoplankton influences on tropical climate, A Timmermann, FF Jin, Geophysical Research Letters 29 (23), 2104, 2002
- Comments on “Noise-induced transitions in a simplified model of the thermohaline circulation” AH Monahan, A Timmermann, G Lohmann, Journal of Physical Oceanography 32 (3), 1112-1116, 2002
- A nonlinear mechanism for decadal El Niño amplitude changes, A Timmermann, FF Jin, Geophysical Research Letters 29 (1), 1003, 2002
- Empirical dynamical system modeling of ENSO using nonlinear inverse techniques, A Timmermann, HU Voss, R Pasmanter, Journal of Physical Oceanography 31 (6), 1579-1598, 2001
- Changes of ENSO stability due to greenhouse warming, A Timmermann, Geophysical Research Letters 28 (10), 2061-2064, 2001
- . Noise-induced transitions in a simplified model of the thermohaline circulation, A Timmermann, G Lohmann, Journal of Physical Oceanography 30 (8), 1891-1900, 2000
- Modes of climate variability as simulated by a coupled general circulation model. Part I: ENSO-like climate variability and its low-frequency modulation, A Timmermann, M Latif, A Groetzner, R Voss, Climate Dynamics 15 (8), 605-618, 1999
- Interannual to decadal predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model, A Groetzner, M Latif, A Timmermann, R Voss, Journal of Climate 12 (8), 2607-2624, 1999
- Detecting the nonstationary response of ENSO to greenhouse warming, A Timmermann, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 56 (14), 2313-2325, 1999
- Increased El Niño frequency in a climate model forced by future greenhouse warming, A Timmermann, J Oberhuber, A Bacher, M Esch, M Latif, E Roeckner, Nature 398 (6729), 694-697, 1999
- Northern hemispheric interdecadal variability: a coupled air-sea mode, A Timmermann, M Latif, R Voss, A Groetzner, Journal of Climate 11 (8), 1906-1931, 1998
- Thermal photon production in heavy-ion collisions, N Arbex, U Ornik, M Pluemer, A Timmermann, RM Weiner, Physics Letters B 345 (3), 307-312, 1995
- Photon interferometry of quark-gluon dynamics reexamined, A Timmermann, M Pluemer, L Razumov, RM Weiner, Physical Review C 5