Fractional Integral Statistical Model: the concept and its application

Seminar by Prof. Naiming Yuan from Sun Yat-sen University

30 November 2023
KST 10:30 – 11:30

The Seminar is being held in Room 1010 (Jasmin) – Integrated mechanical engineering building. Click here for the campus map.

Ever since 1976 when the concept of stochastic climate model (SCM) was proposed by K. Hasselmann, rapid progresses have been made in this field during the past decades. One key point of the SCM is that it links the rapidly changing weather scale processes with slowly changing climate scale processes, which provides a new perspective for the climate studies. In this talk, I will introduce the concept of stochastic climate model briefly, and then mainly focus on a generalized version of the SCM, namely, the Fractional Integral Statistical Model, FISM. Some recent progresses based on FISM will be introduced in detail, including its applications in i) projecting the future warming trend, and ii) separating anthropogenically- and naturally-caused temperature trends. In the end, I will briefly discuss the current findings with an outlook.